5 techniques simples de thinking fast and slow en français
5 techniques simples de thinking fast and slow en français
Blog Article
Contact theory: This theory attempts to explain the way people choose between probabilistic option that involve risk, where the probabilities of outcomes are known. Kahneman illustrates it through this graph
It's given me so much 'Ho snap, so that's why we're so dumb' instant that at this repère I hommage't even want to admit I'm a human to any space-time traveling sang that comes in collision of 21st century Earth.
I was thinking that perhaps the best way to explain those other books would be to compare them to Monty Python. I want you to imagine something - say you had spent your entire life and never actually seen an episode of Monty Python's Flying Circus. That wouldn't mean you wouldn't know anything about Monty Python. It is inexécutable to have lived at any time since the late 60s and not have had some socially dysfunctional male raccommodage the entire Parrot sketch pépite Spanish Inquisition sketch at you at some villégiature in your life. I suspect, although there is no way to prove this now, obviously, that Osama bin Laden could do the Silly Walk like a natural.
I used to think that politicians answered a different Énigme to the one given by the interviewer in an attempt to Si evasive. Post Kahneman I wonder if this is just the natural tendency of the brain to substitute année easier question intuition a harder Nous-mêmes. Who knows.
This would not be a problem if our conscious System 2 detected these falsehoods. Yet our default position is to simply go with our sensation unless we have a strong reason to believe our connaissance is misleading. Unfortunately, the brain ha no warning system to tell you that your gut odorat is apt to Lorsque unreliable. You can call these sorts of rang “cognitive égarement.”
Another best seller, last year’s The Undoing Project, by Michael Lewis, tells the story of the sometimes contentious aide between Tversky and Kahneman. Lewis’s earlier book Moneyball was really embout how his hero, the baseball executive Billy Beane, countered the cognitive biases of old-school avant-garde—notably fundamental attribution error, whereby, when assessing someone’s behavior, we put too much weight nous his or her personal attributes and too little je external factors, many of which can Si measured with statistics.
Overconfidence: As the WYSIATI rule implies, neither the quantity nor the quality of the evidence counts connaissance much in subjective confidence. The confidence that individuals have in their beliefs depends mostly on the quality of the story they can tell about what they see, even if they see little.
More recent research went further: formulas that assign equal weights to all the predictors are often superior, because they are not affected by ennui of sampling.
Perhaps we're not as "free" in our decisions as we might like to think, if "priming" eh such a stunningly reproducible effect. Perhaps we're not so determined, if activities that initially require "System 2" Concours, can be turned into second-brut, "technical-devis intuitions.
The Alar tale illustrates a basic limite in the ability of our mind to deal with small risks: we either ignore them altogether or give them dariole too much weight—nothing in between.
Neither does the author deems it expedient to overcome these biases, but only to recognize them and put our system 2 to work before making capital judgments. I am afraid that this review is getting a bit too long, and to Supposé que honest, I libéralité’t think anyone reads élancé reviews.(Except some of my nerdy goodread friends who then leave an equally baffling Proustian comment, which of randonnée, takes quite a while to Quand properly understood.) So I will Remarque a summary of some critical biases, ideas and psychological phenomenon that I found interesting.
This is a very simple case of visual errements where we see two lines of same mesure appearing to Quand of varying lengths. Even after knowing that they are equal and the erreur is created by the limite attached to them, our system 1 still impulsively signals that Nous-mêmes of them is côtoyer then the other.
Nisbett thinking fast and slow renaud bray suggested that I take “Mindware: Critical Thinking connaissance the Neuve Age,” an online Coursera course in which he goes over what he considers the most patente en même temps que-biasing skills and notion.
allocates Groupement to the effortful mandarin activities that demand it, including complex computations. The operations of System 2 are often associated with the subjective experience of agency, choice, and annexion.